The amount of aluminum used for stable destocking of domestic real estate mainta

Time: 2021-07-26 17:53:08

According to the data monitoring, the domestic aluminum consumption in real estate from January to April 2016 (including the monthly amount of old house renovation) is about 5.441 million tons (see Figure 1), which is 6.6% higher than that of last year, and the growth rate is nearly 6 percentage points higher than that of the same period last year. The aluminum consumption in the same period last year was 5.105 million tons. Since the beginning of this year, the amount of aluminum used in real estate has changed from negative growth at the end of last year to positive growth, basically maintaining between 5% and 7%, which is inseparable from the moderate recovery of real estate this year.

Investment leading indicators continue to improve the further "destocking" of the property market

The latest data shows that from January to April 2016, the funds in place of real estate development enterprises were 4,237.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and the growth rate was 2.1 percentage points higher than that in January-March; From January to April, the land acquisition area of real estate development enterprises was 51.14 million square meters, down 6.5% year-on-year, and the decline was 5.2 percentage points narrower than that in January-March (see Figure 2); From January to April, the newly started housing area was 434.25 million square meters, with an increase of 21.4% and an increase of 2.2 percentage points. The leading indicators of real estate development investment showed signs of improvement, and the real estate market continued to pick up obviously. On the whole, the sales situation of domestic commercial housing has been improving year-to-date, which has led to further "destocking" of the property market. By the end of April, the area of commercial housing for sale was 726.9 million square meters, 8.26 million square meters less than that at the end of March, of which the area of residential housing for sale decreased by 8.94 million square meters. From the perspective of the capital structure of real estate development enterprises, other capital growth is still the main force. Among them, the deposit and advance payment were 1,137 billion yuan, an increase of 34.4%; Personal mortgage loans reached 669.4 billion yuan, an increase of 54.7%.

The "steady growth" of China's economy needs the support of the housing market, and "the policy of the city" occupies the cusp

In late April, Lou Jiwei, Minister of Finance of China, said that China would continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy in 2016 and intensify its efforts. The latest data released by the central bank in the first quarter showed that the loans of financial institutions showed rapid growth, and the growth of real estate loans accounted for a large increase. At the end of March, the balance of RMB household loans was 28.3 trillion yuan, up 17.6% year-on-year, and the growth rate was 0.8 percentage points higher than that at the end of the previous year, 1.2 trillion yuan higher than that at the beginning of the year, and 355.5 billion yuan higher than that at the beginning of the year. Among them, personal housing loans increased by 960.1 billion yuan compared with the beginning of the year, with an increase of 424.8 billion yuan year-on-year, and the growth rate reached 26.6% at the end of March, which played a very positive role in ensuring the stable growth of funds in place for real estate development enterprises. At present, China's economy can not maintain stable growth without investment, and real estate investment, as one of China's basic industry investments, is still of great significance for stabilizing domestic economic growth. However, in the future, the development speed of China's real estate industry will not be as fast as in previous years. At the same time, under the balance between the overall pressure of destocking and the shortage of local housing, many countries have introduced diversified policies for real estate development, and the "tightness and adaptation to local conditions" has become increasingly prominent.  

Sales of building aluminum increased. Short-term real estate aluminum continued moderately

Recently, the author went deep into enterprises to visit and investigate, and many enterprises, including the largest profile processing enterprises in East China, reported that the sales volume of building aluminum materials has increased significantly since this year, with an increase of 5%-10%. Good market sales have made some enterprises tense in employment, while the increasing order volume has prompted individual enterprises to consider expanding production scale. In the short term, the domestic real estate industry will maintain a moderate recovery trend, but the current housing price increase in some first-and second-tier cities has exceeded market expectations. In order to prevent the rising dissatisfaction of buyers, stabilizing housing prices in the later period may become the guiding direction of national policies.


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